Sunday, August 30, 2009

Nog Is Back; Couture Far From Finished

Heavyweight veteran Antonion Rodrigo "Minotauro" Nogeuira ("Big Nog" as he's known) is clearly not the same guy who got knocked out by Frank Mir. The ground skills, iron chin, fast hands and great conditioning that made him famous carried him to a clear decision victory over 46 year-old ironman Randy "The Natural" Couture. Nog may be next in line after Lesnar vs. Carwin is over. Couture, surprisingly, looked very impressive in defeat. He still has that same great clinch game that gives people fits, great dirty boxing, and great heart. What impressed me the most was watching the aging hall-of-famer get dropped from Big Nog's quicker punches, and just immediately recover. Couture bounced back from two potential fight-ending knockdowns delivered by Nogeuira. He also escaped two serious choke attempts from perhaps the best heavyweight submission fighter in the world. Unbelievable. I wouldn't be surprised to see Couture in the Octagon pushing the half-century mark. He continues to defy expectations.

I don't know how much anyone learned watching jiu-jitsu ace Damien Maia get knocked out flying by Nate "The Great" Marquardt. I'm not surprised to see Marquardt win a fight decisively, but I am surprised Maia left himself wide open like that. Ironic, because I've always liked Maia for his belief that you can end a fight without hurting someone. I he recovers and earns another "Submission of the Night."

Chris Leben was outworked by Jake Rosholt. Superior functional wrestling, superior speed and superior conditioning seemed to be the difference-maker in his submission win over "The Crippler," who was left convulsing on the canvas after trying to tap and losing concsciousness in the vise grip of Rosholt's arm choke.

The UFC's already-exciting heavyweight division benefits from the addition of Todd Duffee, who knocked out Tim Hague in a record seven (7) seconds with a stiff jab. From what I can tell, Duffee is cast from the same huge-Terminator-fast-strong mold as Brock Lesnar. This is the new breed of heavyweight: bigger, leaner and much more athletic. Traditional heavyweights - of whom many look like out-of-shape light heavies or middleweights - cannot keep up with someone their size with a significant power-to-weight ratio advantage. Duffee, with three or four more wins, is smack in the mix for contention.

Last but not least, Brandon Vera is back and looking great at 205. Krystof Soscynzki, "The Polish Experiment," looked good but not good enough to beat a fluid, technical Vera. He was simply outclassed by a more accomplished fighter in Vera, who showed excellent patience, great striking technique, and great takedown defense, easily shrugging off numerous takedown attempts. Dropping from heavyweight, Vera also looked physically strong with a large frame and long reach. He will be a bigger light-heavyweight, which is where "The Truth" Brandon Vera belongs, and with his clean, disciplined, aggressive style, we may have something that presents potential problems for current champion Lyoto Machida.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Brett Rogers' Chances of Beating Fedor

A friend emailed me the following question:

"What do you think of Brett Rogers' chances of beating Fedor are??? I think judging from the beating Arlovski gave Fedor before he caught him, I think Rogers has a legit shot of beating him..."

Very good question.  Rogers briefly had his hands full when James "Colossus" Thompson charged him and clinched, but the fight was over very quickly once Rogers got separation and a enough room to strike.

Result: first-round TKO.  Rogers made it look easy.

The Arlovski didn't go much differently.   It looked like both fighters would try to find their range for a while, but Rogers moved in first and landed a series of haymakers.  

Result: first-round TKO.  Rogers made it look easy.

It took Fedor Emelianenko all of the entire first round - a round he almost certainly was losing on the judges' scorecards - to finish the former UFC heavyweight champ Andrei Arlovski. 

Brett Rogers accomplished that feat in just twenty-two seconds. 

Rogers IS quicker than people give him credit for, and his convincing KO wins over Thompson and Arlovski probably warrant his top-10 ranking.  He's a huge guy relative to Fedor (6"5 vs. a short 6"0) and has a big reach advantage.  He appears faster on the feet than Andrei, who seemed to give Fedor fits with his crisp, straight punches.  After watching Rogers mow down Arlovski, one might assume the Russian is in big trouble.

On the other hand, Brett Rogers hasn't faced anyone who can come close to Fedor's experience level, particular his experience in one important aspect of MMA: winning.  Fedor is smart, and he finds a way to defeat his opponent, whomever that may be.  The fight is a game to him; it's nothing personal.  His goal is to achieve the victory.  Whether by submission or KO is probably irrelevant to him, which is certainly one of the reasons you never hear Fedor predict a victory.  I'll say it again: Fedor may have yet to face a puncher with Roger's size and speed, but Rogers certainly hasn't faced anything like Fedor.

A closer examination of Fedor's Affliction bout with Arlovski will reveal just how smart the guy is, how patient.  When one watches the fight, it looks like Arlovski's straight punches and kicks are giving Fedor serious trouble.  Hindsight is 20/20 but it may be just as likely that Fedor was setting him up.  Furthermore, even if Fedor wasn't hustling him, the split-second decision to throw an overhand right to where Arlovski's chin was going to be demonstrates an unreal sense of timing.  The world of MMA has never seen anyone like Fedor before.

The advantage has to go to Fedor.  Brett Rogers simply can't prepare for the enigmatic Russian the way he's trained for other opponents, and that question mark may leave him preoccupied when he enters the cage.  For Fedor to win, however, he must respect Rogers' speed and close the distance early to get Rogers on the mat.  

Should be a GREAT fight.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Scott Coker: Schedule Fedor vs. Brett Rogers NOW

Strikeforce head Scott Coker has gone on the record entertaining the notion that Fedor Emelianenko, ostensibly the world's top heavyweight, may make a couple preliminary "warmup" appearances on Showtime events before fighting for the Strikeforce title.

Let's analyze that remark by reviewing the list of Strikeforce's heavyweights:
  • Brett Rogers - A big, mean brawler...his size and reach could give Fedor problems.  Consensus on Rogers is that despite being relatively untested he has shown tremendous potential, which places him in the world's top 10 heavyweights.
  • Alistair Overeem - Bad-ass accomplished kickboxer, most recently knocking out bad ass kickboxing knock-out artist Badr Hari.  Lost his fair share of Pride bouts.
  • Fabricio Werdum - Cut by the UFC after a couple lackluster fights, Werdum is a top-20 heavyweight and a veteran...but not top-10 in the world.
Rogers is the only fighter on this list in the world's top 10 heavyweights.  He disposed of Andrei Arlovski in less than 30 seconds earlier this summer, due perhaps in no small part to the Belarussian's earlier journey into the spirit world courtesy of Mr. Fedor.  

Brett Rogers is the opponent fans want to see in the cage with Fedor.  Fedor has never fought in the cage, and to be considered the world's top fighter he must face the greatest level of competition instead of ducking it.

Ideally, the #1 heavyweight should face the #2 heavyweight, and that means Fedor vs. Brock Lesnar.  Since Dana White wouldn't bow to Fedor's manager's request to finance construction of a Wally World theme park in Stary Oskol (or something equally excellent), the fans are being denied this fight.

Until Dana caves in and ponies up the rubles, we'll have to settle for Fedor vs. Brett Rogers.  Hopefully Coker gives us this fight.  Anything else will be lackluster, inappropriate and detrimental to public opinion of Fedor.

Monday, August 10, 2009

What Makes Fedor Great?

I first watched Fedor fight live a few years ago. He was facing Matt "The Law" Lindland, a highly-accomplished wrestler and mixed martial artist who had moved up in weight to challenge the Russian legend at heavyweight. The aggressive, hungry Lindland quickly drew blood, tagging Fedor and opening a nasty cut over his eye. The two clinched, with Lindland looking to get control. After a brief (and slightly controversial) struggle against the ropes, the two fell together to the mat, where Fedor ended the fight with an armbar before anyone realized what was happening. Fedor Emelianenko, winner via first-round submission. I had to watch the replay to understand it.

The guy is just different.

Slightly undersized for a heavyweight at just six feet tall and a slightly pudgy 230 pounds, Fedor really doesn't look like much. He enters the arena with relatively little fanfare, making his way slowly to the ring with his eyes glued to the floor. He doesn't jog-and-box, deliver high fives to fans, or mug for the camera. Rather than the aggressive hard rock or metal most fighters use to set the mood, Fedor is instead accompanied by the subdued and unsettling sounds of Era's "Enae Volare Mezzo" or - even more inexplicably - Russian choral folk music. Upon introduction by the announcer, he acknowledges the audience with a characteristic wave to either side.

When the referee calls the fighters to the center of the ring to review the rules and touch gloves, conspicuously absent is the uber-macho staredown nearly all fighters make a habit of. Fedor instead gazes serenely at his opponent's belt buckle or the mat, moving only to touch gloves. So calm and relaxed is he that he could just as easily be standing in his kitchen, slathering black caviar over rye bread and cucumber slices.

His pre-fight entrance is always the same...understated, respectful, and ironic. It is ironic because when the bell sounds, Fedor Emelianenko transforms into The Baddest Man on the Planet.

Fedor doesn't just charge right away like a bull in a china shop. Like most fighters, he takes a moment to size up his opponent and find his range. When he finally does charge, however, it is fast. Fast as in, hidden-predator-fish-snatching-other-fish-from-underneath-a-rock fast. It's just not a big enough word. There's something primal and efficient about the way Fedor accelerates into his attack. You rarely see him miss or abandon an offensive, so calculated is his style. It's as if he won't undertake any attack that won't connect or otherwise improve his position. Fedor's acceleration continues to take his opponents by surprise.

Another facet of Fedor's game his opponents seem to be at a loss to prepare for is his incredible reaction time and ability to adjust during the course of the fight. For example, Andrei Arlovski, a larger, stronger, and faster fighter, pushed Fedor around the ring for the better part of an entire round with crisp and disciplined boxing. With his straight punches easily keeping Fedor at bay, things were looking great for Andrei, who felt confident enough to launch a flying knee. Unfortunately, in that infinitesimal fraction of a second during which Andrei positioned his shoulders and hips to launch that flying knee, Fedor (1) recognized the vulnerable position Andrei would put himself in for about .26 seconds, and (2) simultaneously conceived and launched a preemptive attack in the form of an overhand right that landed flush, knocking Arlovski out. Stone-cold. After watching Fedor lose his first round in a long time, no one saw this coming.

Fedor later mentioned that he never once felt in danger of losing the fight, that he was in fact confident that his opponent would eventually make a mistake and he would then capitalize. Hindsight, of course, is 20-20, but maybe there's something to this patient methodology of Fedor's. He does few interviews, but in a recent documentary spoke of a training camp and fight preparation that was relatively rudimentary, involving just dieting, jogging outdoors, bodyweight exercises and calisthenics, and of course wrestling and sparring. He mentioned that his fight strategy isn't really affected by the opponent he faces, and that he prepares more or less the same for all opponents, and watches very little tape. As mystifying as this seems, it stands to reason that this could in fact be the secret to his success.

Fedor Emelianenko possesses an approach to fighting that seems fundamentally different from other fighters. While others spend hours watching tape and learning what their opponents' attributes are and how to mitigate those perceived advantages, Fedor instead focuses on arming himself with the physical tools - balance, quickness, punching power, and cardio - necessary to execute effective ad hoc fighting strategy...dynamically, and on demand during the course of a fight whose outcome or nature cannot possibly be predicted from watching tape.

Certainly there are stronger men, better boxers, better jiu-jitsu practitioners, and better wrestlers out there than Fedor Emelianenko. Fedor's greatest tool is his mind; this is where he is perhaps without equal. Patience, discipline, composure, mental toughness - perhaps no other fighter in the world can match him in any one of these characteristics. His steadfast adherence to the "one-size-fits-all" dynamic fighting strategy is very much a big picture, high-level way of thinking. Fedor understands that it isn't really important that he appreciate his opponents' strengths or weaknesses, so long as he is able to recognize and take advantage of his opponents' mistakes as they occur in real time. As such, he trains accordingly.

It's a great metaphor for life, this idea of focusing one's efforts only on those things one can control. Approach life's problems with strength, flexibility, and a peaceful attitude. It's a way to be prepared for anything, and not only survive but thrive.

The proof is in the pudding; one only has to watch Fedor.


Miguel Torres "Bowled" Over...Continued

I just watched this brutal knockout again on an MMA multimedia site. The clip's first user comment, posted anonymously summed up the disappointment of many of Torres' fans, if excessively:
"This made me so sad. I hope Bowles dies in a fire."
A little harsh, but the next user's comment made it all better:
"Mir is that you?"
Now THAT is funny. Former UFC heavyweight champion Frank Mir, himself a recent victim of violent humiliation at the hands of Brock "The Vanilla Gorilla" Lesnar, may rival me as one of Torres' biggest fans. Actually, Frank knows Torres personally and has trained with him, so for Frank this was understandably more personal.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Brian Bowles Didn't Get the Memo

Didn't you get the memo, Brian Bowles? No one will ever beat Miguel Torres.

Tonight, I watched one of my favorite fighters get knocked out cold. Torres, former WEC bantamweight champion and widely considered one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world, was knocked out cold in the first round by undefeated challenger and new WEC bantamweight champion Brian Bowles. And this was no fluke flurry TKO; it was a stone-cold beat-down.

Widely considered one of best in the world, Torres was heavily favored and expected to either submit Bowles with his world-class jiu-jitsu skills or end the fight with wicked striking delivered from a significant reach advantage. Riding a seventeen-fight winning streak, the champ Torres had just months earlier battled the iron-jawed and iron-fisted Takeya Mizugaki to a decision victory. Mizugaki proved surprisingly tough for Torres, whom fans had become accustomed to seeing blow through ostensibly dangerous challengers like wet toilet paper. Brian Bowles had shown promise in his seven professional fights, but most probably expected the far more experienced Torres to deliver a foregone conclusion victory.

I guess Brian Bowles didn't get the memo.

I thought Miguel Torres would never be beaten, let alone get brutally knocked unconcious. Bowles, who back-tracked most of the fight, was the first one to land and when he landed, he landed a hard overhand. That shot, which sent Torres stumbling while he recovered, probably served as a wake-up call for the champ, whothen turned on the heat. Torres charged the backpedaling challenger Bowles, perhaps over-aggressively. Bowles patiently weathered the flurry and then delivered a devastating hook that deflated Torres. Bowles pounced and pounded the dazed Torres, and a few head-bouncers later, the ref ended it. It really made me sick to see one of my favorite fighters not only get beaten, but get beaten unequivocally; his body limp like a rag doll; eyes glazed and expression blank.

When I got over the sickening disappointment (which took me a couple hours) I was able to appreciate the significance of an individual mixed martial arts match as a metaphor for life.

Prior to this fight, I'd seen Torres make predictions about this fight's outcome that, while containing the typical requisite fight promo trash talk, struck me as uncharacteristic. Champions are champions because they have their heads in the right place, and don't waste time playing mind games, right? Maybe not. Torres went out of his way in recent weeks to try and get in Bowles' head in an attempt to build a psychological edge over a younger, less-experienced fighter. So many had lost to Torres before setting foot in the cage, their resolve buckling under the weight of his legend.

One of Torres' pre-fight remarks in particular was so presumptuous and demonstrated such complacency, it practically telegraphed an upset:
“I’ve been through so many fights, I’ve been in this situation so many times,” he said. “I’m like a Vampire and every time I fight I feed off of my wars and that makes me a stronger fighter. After my last fight with Mizugaki my confidence has been bolstered by 10 times what it was before because I know that I’m not going to get knocked out, that I’m not going to get hurt, that I can go five rounds hard and I’m not going to get tired.
Again...it looks like Brian Bowles didn't get the memo.

Two years ago I experienced this same sickening disappointment while watching UFC welterweight champ George St. Pierre tap due to strikes after getting too close to Matt Serra. Serra, a 10-to-1 underdog, hadn't bought the hype about St. Pierre and assumed it was OK to go ahead and try to knock out the champ. Lo and behold...

The loss changed George St. Pierre and improved him immeasurably. St. Pierre bounced back a more focused, relaxed, happy, and humble fighter, unburdened by petty trash-talk. It's probably no coincidence that he's also now more dominant than ever, having reclaimed his throne and not lost a single round in the six ensuing fights since his upset. These days, fans will hear George speak with a sort of peaceful wisdom about the uncertainty of life, how he cannot nor will not guarantee a victory ever, and how one cannot possibly know the future nor hope to control it. I happen to agree with this, and will elaborate further to point out that the concept of a future - the space in that fourth dimension beyond what we are currently experiencing or have already experienced - has absolutely no meaning if it is something that can be perceived or otherwise foretold. George St. Pierre understands what he can and cannot control.

It mystifies me, then, why another one of the world's greatest MMA champions would demonstrate such a lack of respect for not only his opponent, but for the universe and the cosmos and the awesome power of karma. Miguel Torres is a skilled and accomplished champion, a legend who has already secured a place in history. Well-spoken and articulate, he offers intelligent interviews that demonstrate the profound philosophies of a thinking man's fighter.

What Miguel Torres started, Brian Bowles finished. Is it karma? I believe Torres is the more talented and dynamic fighter, and I am pretty certain that my favorite fighter will bounce back and reclaim his belt, but he may have had this coming. Miguel Torres lost this fight before it even started by abandoning his champion's composure and descending into the garbage-talk sideshow reserved for scrubs. The former champion will surely benefit from facing and being defeated by a worthy challenger who honored both him and the sport by bringing the fight to him. At the end of the day, I am sure Miguel Torres can, as a student of the art of fighting, appreciate Bowles' performance.

I hope to see the old Torres - the one who means business and doesn't have time for bullshit - in the future. Meanwhile, I'll try to let my respect for others and my appreciation for the awesome power of life and the universe guide the things that I do and say.




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